Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.096230 0.111284 0.127905 0.147617 0.170359 0.195778 0.226352
2025-12-14 0.070745 0.090440 0.114419 0.145761 0.185663 0.234801 0.299971
2025-12-21 0.058271 0.079899 0.108091 0.147530 0.201315 0.272179 0.372797
2025-12-28 0.051508 0.074779 0.106847 0.154264 0.222658 0.317868 0.460779
2026-01-04 0.045709 0.069728 0.104461 0.158345 0.239930 0.359048 0.546657
2026-01-11 0.041002 0.065382 0.102190 0.161799 0.256059 0.399671 0.635809
2026-01-18 0.036690 0.060922 0.098979 0.163075 0.268530 0.435574 0.721250
2026-01-25 0.032428 0.055905 0.094146 0.160938 0.274941 0.462151 0.794189
2026-02-01 0.028284 0.050507 0.087962 0.155650 0.275224 0.478319 0.851024
2026-02-08 0.026058 0.048097 0.086457 0.158041 0.288660 0.517668 0.951631
2026-02-15 0.023853 0.045434 0.084160 0.158663 0.298852 0.552152 1.046994
2026-02-22 0.022130 0.043434 0.082790 0.160735 0.311756 0.592568 1.157302
2026-03-01 0.019850 0.040143 0.078741 0.157434 0.314436 0.614861 1.236826
2026-03-08 0.017993 0.037466 0.075566 0.155472 0.319505 0.642266 1.329610
2026-03-15 0.016772 0.035917 0.074409 0.157359 0.332366 0.686074 1.460035
2026-03-22 0.016202 0.035645 0.075773 0.164542 0.356824 0.755599 1.651248
2026-03-29 0.015402 0.034784 0.075810 0.168893 0.375729 0.815524 1.828578
2026-04-05 0.014611 0.033843 0.075565 0.172577 0.393540 0.874869 2.011073
2026-04-12 0.013699 0.032523 0.074345 0.173938 0.406291 0.924458 2.177065
2026-04-19 0.012601 0.030641 0.071667 0.171659 0.410464 0.955340 2.303385
2026-04-26 0.011378 0.028323 0.067741 0.166019 0.406147 0.966404 2.384185
2026-05-03 0.010807 0.027521 0.067267 0.168569 0.421632 1.024994 2.585737
2026-05-10 0.010165 0.026468 0.066079 0.169233 0.432562 1.073822 2.768543